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Why Iranian conservatives are against the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire

With Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu framing the ceasefire with Hezbollah as a strategic move to pivot towards Iran’s nuclear threat, some in Tehran are bracing for an increased military threat to the country.

Several conservative Iranian voices have raised concerns that easing tensions on Israel’s northern front could embolden Iran's arch-enemy in the region. Officially, however, Iran has hailed the cessation of hostilities between Israel and Lebanon as a victory for the Lebanese group.

"When the Israeli regime declares Iran as the primary target of the ceasefire in Lebanon, it means we will inevitably face them, whether we want to or not," a conservative analyst close to the Iranian establishment told Middle East Eye.

The analyst said that as Israel shifts its focus away from the northern front, it will have greater capacity to regroup, concentrate on neutralising the Gaza front and potentially push the US towards a more aggressive stance on Iran's nuclear facilities.

READ MORE: Why Iranian conservatives are against the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire

Women hold up pictures of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed in an Israeli strike on Beirut in late September, during an anti-Israel rally in Tehran on 24 October 2024 (AFP)
Women hold up pictures of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, killed in an Israeli strike on Beirut in late September, during an anti-Israel rally in Tehran on 24 October 2024 (AFP)